Issue - September/October 2026

The Advantage of Uncertainty
By Ebru Demirel, President, Asya International Movers and Chair, Hall of Honor Selection Committee
When I joined our family business 33 years ago, I often admired companies in Western Europe and North America. From where I stood, they seemed to operate in far more predictable environments, while we were building a business in a region where economic fluctuations, political uncertainty, and unexpected crises were simply part of everyday life.
Back then, I believed certainty was a luxury reserved for other parts of the world. Today, I no longer believe that.
No matter where we are based, uncertainty has become part of doing business. Different regions face different challenges, but none of us is immune to geopolitical tensions, changing trade patterns, labor shortages, economic pressure, or rapidly evolving customer expectations. Waiting for stability before making decisions is no longer an option; increasingly, it is a disadvantage.
Over the years, I have stopped waiting for certainty before acting. Instead, I have learned to make the best decision I can with the information available, while staying flexible enough to adapt when circumstances change. I have also learned that very few decisions are irreversible. Good leaders are not those who always make perfect decisions; they are those who are willing to adjust when new information emerges.
One lesson has become increasingly important: communication matters even more when the future is unclear.
Experience has taught me that people are usually more uncomfortable with silence than with bad news. Even when I don’t have all the answers, I try to communicate what I know, what I don’t know, and when people can expect an upd
ate. Most people appreciate honesty far more than false certainty.
This is especially true in our industry. International moving is deeply personal. A relocation can suddenly change because of a visa issue, a government decision, an airline disruption, or an unexpected global event. Our clients rarely expect us to control those situations. They expect us to guide them through them.
In uncertain moments, I have found that expertise gets you to the table, but trust is what carries people through the journey. Our clients may not remember every detail of the process, but they almost always remember whether they felt supported and informed, and were never abandoned.
That is why I believe relationships are our greatest competitive advantage.
We often say relocation is a people business, but I have come to realize that this is much more than a nice expression. The strongest relationships are built long before a crisis begins, through trust, consistency, showing up for one another, and helping others without expecting an immediate return.
When something goes wrong, it is rarely a procedure that saves the day. More often, it is a trusted partner who answers the phone after hours, a colleague willing to go the extra mile, or a friendship built over many years. In uncertain times, our greatest asset is not a process manual; it is the people we can rely on.
Looking back, I realize that many of the biggest challenges in my career were solved not because we had better procedures than anyone else, but because someone was willing to make one more phone call, ask one more favor, or simply say, “Don’t worry, we’ll figure it out together.”
Another lesson I continue to learn is that leaders set the emotional tone for their teams. Panic spreads quickly, but so does calm. Staying calm does not mean pretending everything is fine. It means giving people confidence that, together, we will find a way forward.
Long-distance trail running has reinforced this lesson for me. During an ultra-marathon, I never think about how far I still have to go. If I did, I would probably stop. Instead, I focus on the next step, then the next one, trusting that the difficult stretch will eventually pass. Leadership often feels exactly the same.
Looking back over the past three decades, I no longer envy businesses that seem to operate in more stable environments. Every leader, regardless of geography or industry, faces uncertainty in one form or another.
Perhaps the only difference is that some of us learned to live with uncertainty earlier than others. Today, however, uncertainty has become the reality for almost every business. Rather than waiting for things to “return to normal,” I believe we need to accept that constant change is the new normal.
What makes the difference is not avoiding uncertainty, but learning how to lead through it with open communication, trusted relationships, calm decision-making, and the confidence to move forward without having all the answers.
Because confidence does not come from knowing exactly what will happen next. It comes from trusting that, whatever happens, you and your team will find a way forward together.
